Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.015860 0.018448 0.021306 0.024693 0.028596 0.032949 0.038170
2025-12-21 0.011822 0.015120 0.019100 0.024246 0.030713 0.038561 0.048799
2025-12-28 0.009809 0.013614 0.018569 0.025468 0.034801 0.046962 0.063983
2026-01-04 0.008161 0.012177 0.017770 0.026083 0.038077 0.054700 0.079424
2026-01-11 0.006565 0.010463 0.016232 0.025326 0.039228 0.059588 0.091556
2026-01-18 0.005480 0.009273 0.015202 0.025059 0.040929 0.065345 0.105575
2026-01-25 0.004555 0.008146 0.014056 0.024372 0.041793 0.069833 0.118112
2026-02-01 0.003857 0.007265 0.013142 0.023879 0.042825 0.074609 0.131584
2026-02-08 0.003328 0.006579 0.012440 0.023608 0.044133 0.079911 0.146474
2026-02-15 0.002844 0.005890 0.011616 0.022974 0.044672 0.083890 0.159458
2026-02-22 0.002629 0.005678 0.011637 0.023892 0.048138 0.093416 0.183455
2026-03-01 0.002340 0.005268 0.011208 0.023870 0.049791 0.099759 0.202215
2026-03-08 0.002005 0.004712 0.010421 0.023047 0.049813 0.103120 0.215899
2026-03-15 0.001770 0.004335 0.009950 0.022808 0.050990 0.108878 0.235026
2026-03-22 0.001683 0.004279 0.010159 0.024058 0.055458 0.121782 0.270238
2026-03-29 0.001558 0.004113 0.010095 0.024691 0.058666 0.132432 0.301949
2026-04-05 0.001362 0.003737 0.009493 0.023999 0.058810 0.136545 0.320037
2026-04-12 0.001219 0.003469 0.009107 0.023759 0.059954 0.142963 0.343936
2026-04-19 0.001072 0.003167 0.008588 0.023113 0.060043 0.146997 0.362859
2026-04-26 0.000953 0.002917 0.008165 0.022648 0.060506 0.151929 0.384411
2026-05-03 0.000858 0.002718 0.007842 0.022391 0.061449 0.158090 0.409557
2026-05-10 0.000760 0.002492 0.007413 0.021790 0.061421 0.161878 0.429323
2026-05-17 0.000728 0.002460 0.007516 0.022663 0.065407 0.176080 0.476696